Western Michigan vs Miami (OH) 11/16/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Western Michigan winning 48% of simulations, and Miami (OH) 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Western Michigan commits fewer turnovers in 37% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Miami (OH) wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Alex Carder is averaging 276 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Zac Dysert is averaging 316 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIAOH -1.5

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